Andrew Sullivan's one-dimensional analysis

The two hottest books for thinking persons are Richard Dawkins’ The God Delusion (currently #2 at Amazon.com) and Andrew Sullivan’s The Conservative Soul. I don’t have a lot to say about Dawkins’ book, beyond noting that I admire and agree with almost all of it. (Check out his website for various comments, pro and con.) So how about Andrew Sullivan?

I’d been thinking how best to frame my opinion of Sullivan’s core idea when I read David Brooks’ review in the New York Times. The following observation leapt out at me:

Sullivan’s next guide is Michael Oakeshott, the great British philosopher, who brilliantly exposed the limits of rationalism. As Sullivan says, “There is no way, Oakeshott argues, to generate a personal moral life from a book, a text, a theory. We live the way we have grown accustomed to live. Our morality is like a language we have learned and deploy in every new instant.”

Politics is not an effort to find solutions and realize ideals, in this view. It is merely an effort to find practical ways to preserve one’s balance in a complicated world. An Oakeshottian conservative will reject great crusades. He will not try to impose morality or base policy decisions on so-called eternal truths.

Of course neither would this kind of conservative write the Declaration of Independence.

Exactly so. Sullivan is so consumed with this single idea – an idealized conservatism – that he fails to recognize that creative genius is rooted in two great impulses: the conservative, and the liberal. Great political and social – and artistic – achievements spring from the tension between these two.

So obsessed is he with his one-dimensional view that Sullivan event tries to attribute to pragmatic conservatism such initiatives as the extension of the franchise to working men and then to women. As Brooks notes, this won’t wash. The great social and political leaps of imagination and courage did not spring from conservatism, and it’s silly to pretend otherwise. Yet in Sullivan’s world view, liberalism is squeezed out: it’s either an economic aspect of conservatism (in the spirit of The Economist, perhaps), or a barely-restrained flavour of socialism.

Over the last two hundred years, we have seen plenty of examples of conservatism uninspired by liberalism, and of liberalism spinning out of control for want of the steadying skepticism of conservatism. The key is balance. However Sullivan keeps hopping on one bad leg, unclear on how to fix it. Blogging today about the Washington Post review of his book, Sullivan writes:

But he’s right on the second point. I see no easy political way to get the soul of conservatism back in the near future. McCain is, at best, a tenuous hope. But I do try and describe a positive, skeptical conservatism that is a vibrant alternative to what “conservatism” has now become: a “conservatism of doubt” and a “politics of freedom”.

Sullivan has misunderstood the situation. The problem is how to restore the soul of the polity, not the soul of conservatism. Fixing conservatism is a means to that end, but it cannot be achieved without confronting the larger question.

Sullivan and many others misdiagnosed the disease back in the 1980s: like Margaret Thatcher, they thought that there was no such thing as society, identified liberalism with socialism, and concluded that everything apart from conservatism should be flushed down the drain. What we can now see is that conservatism without liberalism cannot stand: it is too easily warped by the forces of reaction, just as it has been for the last two hundred years.

The challenge is simply this: how do we restore the creative balance between liberalism and conservatism: between compassion and prudence, between idealism and skepticism, between inventing the future and learning from history? Andrew Sullivan has grasped part of this. It is, perhaps, ironic that he pins his hopes upon a politician – McCain – who has not.

UPDATE: Sullivan’s response is here.

Using Flexcar

I just completed my first test of Flexcar, and I thought I’d write it up for fellow geeks. It’s a nice example of a business model that relies upon satellite data, cellular communications, and RFID technology.
At about 1 o’clock this afternoon, I decided that I ought to go out to do some shopping before Chris comes to visit. I logged in to the Flexcar website, picked my location, and saw that there was a car available all afternoon in the Uwajimaya parking lot. I selected a two hour reservation slot beginning at 2pm, and up came my reservation page:
flexcar reservation page
(I’ve obliterated the sensitive bits.)
At 2:01pm I arrived at the car, an anonymous-looking grey Honda Accord with a “Flexcar” decal on the trunk. Below the windscreen on the driver’s side was a small box with three LEDs; the red LED was illuminated. I held my membership card over the box, the amber LED blinked a few times, and then the green LED came on and the car was unlocked. I got in, retrieved the car key from a holder in the glove compartment, started up and drove off.
The car was fairly clean, though a bit dusty, and the tank was full. It handled like a typical rental car, although there was more tyre noise than I was used to. In any case, traffic was light, and I reached the Whole Foods at Roosevelt Square in about 10 minutes. While I was shopping, I used the regular car key to lock and unlock the car, not the RFID card. I got my groceries, then explored the neighbourhood for a few minutes, but I didn’t want to dawdle. I realized that I’d need to get back to Uwajimaya and unload the car before 4pm.
The only problem arose when I reached Uwajimaya around 3:40pm and found another car – a humongous SUV – illegally parked in the Flexcar space. I parked in a nearby spot, then unloaded the car, and talked to the parking attendant. She arranged for the offending driver to be paged, and eventually the (presumably illiterate) bimbo owner of the SUV emerged from the store and drove off in a huff. (In the 30 seconds that it took me to start the Flexcar and drive over to the reserved space, another clueless SUV driver tried to park there, but the parking attendant told him off.) And finally I checked to make sure I had all my stuff, got out, and held my RFID card over the sensor to lock the car. By the time I got back to the apartment, the reservation history was up to date on the website.
I expect that I’ll always want to leave a margin of at least 15 minutes to allow for parking and unloading, so that realistically a 2 hour reservation is about the shortest I’ll use. That’s OK for running errands, but before I decide whether this can replace my own car, I need to try at least one extended reservation, so that I can check out refuelling and other features. The plan I signed up for includes a bundled 10 hours a month, so I need to “use it or lose it”.
The bottom line is that the system just worked. I’m a fan.
UPDATE: I mentioned satellite data communications and RFID, but not cellular; let me complete the story. There are a bunch of failure modes in this kind of system, some partial (e.g. “vehicle is not in correct location, what’s the correct – nearby – location?”), some more serious (“I’ve had an accident, and the car won’t be available for the next user”). Managing these failures in real-time is only feasible if all of the users have cellphones

Google Mail stupidity

I just received an email on my Gmail account. It was an odd email, apparently from Microsoft, but that’s another subject. As I often do with suspicious emails, I checked out the full headers, and the To: address was wrong. My Gmail address has a dot in it, and this address was dot-less. Next to the address was the comment:
(Yes, this is you. Learn more.)
So I clicked on the link, and this is what I read:

Am I receiving someone else’s email?
Google Mail does not recognise dots (.) as characters within a username. This way, you can add and remove dots to your username for desired address variations. Messages sent to your.username@googlemail.com and y.o.u.r.u.s.e.r.n.a.m.e@googlemail.com are delivered to the same inbox, since the characters in the username are the same.
Keep in mind that hyphens (-) and underscores (_) cannot be used in a Google Mail address. In addition, usernames are not case sensitive. Therefore, it does not matter if you enter upper case or lower case letters.
If you created your account with a dot in your username and you wish you had not, you can change your ‘Reply-to address’. To change your reply-to address:

  1. Click ‘Settings’ at the top of any Google Mail page.
  2. Enter your username@googlemail.com without a dot in the ‘Reply-to address’ field.
  3. Click ‘Save Changes’.

When you log in to Google Mail, you need to enter any dots that were originally defined as part of your username.

This seems utterly clueless to me. Not only does it ignore the spirit (if not the letter) of the relevant RFCs, it also violates the principle of least surprise. In every other email system that I know of, the strings “first.last@domain.com” and “firstlast@domain.com” represent different addresses. To Google, these are the same address. And they aren’t even consistent, as the final sentence makes clear.
Case-insensitivity is fine. After all, everything after the “@” in an address is case-insensitive, and we’ve got plenty of experience with Win/Mac file names. But ignoring punctuation? Of those folks who try adding or subtracting dots, how many will realize that it only applies to the left of the “@”, and only with Gmail? And just think of how many systems require you to use your email address as a username. I’m pretty sure that Amazon.com isn’t going to allow you to add random dots to your address when you log in….
I’m still thinking through the many different ways in which this sucks – with spam, digital signatures, inter-system forwarding, whitelisting/blacklisting schemes, etc. Once you screw with the identity function in any system, bad things are likely to follow.
Sorry, Google – you just lost about 6 INT points (and a couple of CHR as well). What a stupid design. Even though it will be a tedious chore, I think I’m going to dump my Gmail account and switch to Yahoo! – they allow punctuation characters and don’t mess around with them.

So much for good intentions

I had planned to spent this morning on a bunch of housekeeping chores that I’ve been putting off. So much for good intentions…. While I was having my first cup of coffee and checking my email, I “accidentally” found myself unwrapping a DVD that had just arrived from Alec, and slipping it into the conveniently-placed slot in the front of my PowerBook. And so for the last couple of hours I’ve been transported across time and the Atlantic….
Divine Comedy at the Palladium
It’s a wonderful performance, anchored by six songs from the just-released album Absent Friends and including most of the older favourites like “National Express”, “Generation Sex”, “Tonight We Fly”, and “Something for the Weekend”. For me, the highlights are probably “Leaving Today” and “Sunrise”, with which he closes.
The only disappointment is the complete lack of songs from Regeneration. I know that it was a stylistic departure, and doesn’t match the range of the instrumental ensemble in this show, but it would have been nice to hear “Note to Self” or “Perfect Lovesong. Never mind.
Thanks, Alec. And now I guess I’ll have to reschedule the rest of my weekend….

River's back

River’s back. I’m sure I’m not the only person who checked her blog regularly, saw no new postings, and wondered with a sinking heart whether she had fallen victim to the violence that engulfs her country. As she said,

This has been the longest time I have been away from blogging. There were several reasons for my disappearance the major one being the fact that every time I felt the urge to write about Iraq, about the situation, I’d be filled with a certain hopelessness that can’t be put into words and that I suspect other Iraqis feel also.

And then she rips into those who are criticizing the latest Johns Hopkins/Lancet study.

There are Iraqi women who have not shed their black mourning robes since 2003 because each time the end of the proper mourning period comes around, some other relative dies and the countdown begins once again.

As Andrew Sullivan puts it, “How to disagree? She is living this nightmare. We are merely watching it unfold.”

What starship do I belong on?

Via Terry:

You scored as Moya (Farscape). You are surrounded by muppets. But that is okay because they are your friends and have shown many times that they can be trusted. Now if only you could stop being bothered about wormholes.

Moya (Farscape)

75%

Nebuchadnezzar (The Matrix)

69%

Galactica (Battlestar: Galactica)

69%

Enterprise D (Star Trek)

69%

SG-1 (Stargate)

63%

Andromeda Ascendant (Andromeda)

56%

Millennium Falcon (Star Wars)

56%

Serenity (Firefly)

50%

Babylon 5 (Babylon 5)

50%

Deep Space Nine (Star Trek)

44%

FBI’s X-Files Division (The X-Files)

31%

Bebop (Cowboy Bebop)

19%

Your Ultimate Sci-Fi Profile II: which sci-fi crew would you best fit in? (pics)
created with QuizFarm.com

A test (to see if community.sun.com is picking this up)

Lorem ipsum, something, something something. It appears that the ex-Sun community aggregator lost track of my blog, which is ironic since mine was the first to be included. Oh, well. Thanks to Oz for catching it, and Linda for (hopefully) fixing it.

UPDATE: Well, it looks like it still isn’t fixed. I’m back on the list of aggregated blogs, but my stuff isn’t showing up. I’m not sure why: this is a pretty vanilla WordPress configuration…..

An informed alternative viewpoint

The Iraq Body Count project has analysed the new Johns Hopkins/Lancet study and disagrees with it. It’s worth noting, of course, that the apologists for the war who have attacked the Lancet also get hysterical about the Iraq Body Count. Sane people agree that tens of thousands of civilians have been killed as a result of a morally indefensible war; the only disagreement is over the exact number. The IBC view:

There has been enormous interest and debate over the newly published Lancet Iraqi mortality estimate of 655,000 excess deaths since the invasion, 601,000 of them from violence (and including combatants with civilians). Even the latter estimate is some 12 times larger than the IBC count of violent civilian deaths reported in the international news media, which stands at something under 50,000 for the same period (although the IBC figure for this period is likely to considerably increase with the addition of as yet unprocessed data). The new Lancet estimate is also almost the same degree higher than any official records from Iraq. This contrast has provoked numerous requests for comment, and these are our first observations.
The researchers, and in particular their Iraqi colleagues who carried out the survey, should be commended for undertaking it under dangerous circumstances and with minimal resources. Efforts like theirs have consistently highlighted that much more could be done by official bodies, such as the US and UK governments, to assess the human suffering that has resulted from the invasion and occupation of Iraq.
However, our view is that there is considerable cause for scepticism regarding the estimates in the latest study, not least because of a very different conclusion reached by another random household survey, the ILCS, using a comparable method but a considerably better-distributed and much larger sample. […]
What emerges most clearly from this study is that a multi-methodological approach and much better resourced work is required. Substantially more deaths have occurred than have been recorded so far, but their number still remains highly uncertain.

John Quiggin also has some interesting thoughts about the continuing air war in Iraq, based on the US Air Force’s own reports. (Apparently the mainstream media doesn’t think it’s worth reporting. Liberal bias, innit?)